Cub Swanson vs Shane Burgos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1734
If they win+17→ 1751
If they lose-15→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonShane Burgos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Burgos60%
Cub Swanson 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Burgos a 60% favorite over Cub Swanson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cub Swanson's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1734), separated by just 12 points.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.
Cub Swanson and Shane Burgos share 1 common opponent: Billy Quarantillo.
Shane Burgos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.