Combat Edge Intelligence

Curt Warburton vs Lando Vannata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record12-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
NEVTTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Curt WarburtonNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.76
43%
Strike defense
55%
2.35
Takedown avg.
1.09
50%
Takedown accuracy
38%
83%
Takedown defense
69%
0.94
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Curt WarburtonLando Vannata
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (29%)
Submission
5 (42%)
5 (36%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lando Vannata60%
Curt Warburton 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 60% favorite over Curt Warburton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1571), separated by just 4 points.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Curt Warburton finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.