Curtis Blaydes vs Josh Hokit
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes59%
Josh Hokit 41%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 59% favorite over Josh Hokit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1749, a 32-point edge.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Josh Hokit 90%.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record10-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach73"
256 lbsWeight246 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Hokit carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1792
If they lose-13→ 1768
If they win+17→ 1766
If they lose-15→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesJosh Hokit