Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Curtis Blaydes62%
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 62% favorite over Waldo Cortes-Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1737, a 44-point edge.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Curtis Blaydes and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Sergei Pavlovich.
Curtis Blaydes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record17-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach78"
256 lbsWeight262 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness
What's at stake
Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Waldo Cortes-Acosta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1791
If they lose-14→ 1767
If they win+18→ 1755
If they lose-14→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Curtis BlaydesWaldo Cortes-Acosta