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Combat Edge Intelligence

Curtis Blaydes vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record17-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach78"
256 lbsWeight262 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Waldo Cortes-Acosta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Curtis BlaydesNow 1781
If they win+11→ 1792
If they lose-13→ 1768
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1762
If they win+17→ 1779
If they lose-15→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.18
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
54%
Strike defense
54%
5.12
Takedown avg.
0.40
24%
Takedown accuracy
0%
35%
Takedown defense
74%
0
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Curtis BlaydesWaldo Cortes-Acosta
17001750180020252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (35%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes56%
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 56% favorite over Waldo Cortes-Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1762, a 19-point edge.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Curtis Blaydes finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Curtis Blaydes and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Sergei Pavlovich.

Curtis Blaydes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Sergei Pavlovich
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025