Cynthia Calvillo vs Ericka Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-1Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach38,0"
119 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cynthia CalvilloEricka Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ericka Almeida60%
Cynthia Calvillo 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ericka Almeida a 60% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.
Ericka Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ericka Almeida 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.