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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Marina Spasić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach64"
119 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamBorilački klub CDS Novi Sad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Marina SpasićNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
38%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
64%
Strike defense
Not available
1.80
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
78%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.81
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloMarina Spasić
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Cynthia Calvillo54%
Marina Spasić 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cynthia Calvillo a 54% favorite over Marina Spasić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marina Spasić 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.