Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Marina Spasić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach-
119 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamBorilački klub CDS Novi Sad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Marina SpasićNow 1590
If they win+24→ 1614
If they lose-24→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
1.80
Takedown avg.
TBD
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.81
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloMarina Spasić
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Marina Spasić67%
Cynthia Calvillo 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marina Spasić a 67% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marina Spasić 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.