Cynthia Calvillo vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-1Record18-13-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
64"ReachTBD
119 lbsWeight115 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cynthia CalvilloMichelle Waterson-Gomez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cynthia Calvillo60%
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Cynthia Calvillo a 60% favorite over Michelle Waterson-Gomez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1582), separated by just 7 points.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 67%.
Cynthia Calvillo and Michelle Waterson-Gomez share 1 common opponent: Marina Rodriguez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.