Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Nina Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nina Nunes
us

Nina Nunes

“The Strina”

11-7-0FlyweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record11-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach64"
119 lbsWeight126 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamLioness Studio

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Nina NunesNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
38%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
64%
Strike defense
56%
1.80
Takedown avg.
0.24
44%
Takedown accuracy
33%
78%
Takedown defense
74%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloNina Nunes
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (18%)
5 (50%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Nina Nunes52%
Cynthia Calvillo 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nina Nunes a 52% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cynthia Calvillo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nina Nunes 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.