Combat Edge Intelligence

Cynthia Calvillo vs Pearl Gonzalez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pearl Gonzalez
us

Pearl Gonzalez

“The Chi-Town Princess”

11-6-0FlyweightXFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-1Record11-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
64"Reach38,0"
119 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeam10th Planet San Diego

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Pearl GonzalezNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.23
38%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
64%
Strike defense
57%
1.80
Takedown avg.
1.04
44%
Takedown accuracy
11%
78%
Takedown defense
0%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Cynthia CalvilloPearl Gonzalez
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (55%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Cynthia Calvillo52%
Pearl Gonzalez 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Cynthia Calvillo a 52% favorite over Pearl Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pearl Gonzalez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1594), separated by just 5 points.

Cynthia Calvillo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pearl Gonzalez 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.