Cyrillo Padilha Neto vs Melvin Guillard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovaco Fight TeamTeamGenesis Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cyrillo Padilha NetoMelvin Guillard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cyrillo Padilha Neto53%
Melvin Guillard 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Cyrillo Padilha Neto a 53% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Melvin Guillard's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1521), separated by just 12 points.
Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Cyrillo Padilha Neto finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.