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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cyrillo Padilha Neto vs Simone Patrizi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record7-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renovaco Fight TeamTeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cyrillo Padilha NetoNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Simone PatriziNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cyrillo Padilha NetoSimone Patrizi
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
2 (67%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Simone Patrizi65%
Cyrillo Padilha Neto 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Simone Patrizi a 65% favorite over Cyrillo Padilha Neto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cyrillo Padilha Neto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1508), separated by just 1 points.

Simone Patrizi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cyrillo Padilha Neto finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Simone Patrizi 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.