Combat Edge Intelligence

Cédrick Bégin vs Michael Lerma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Lerma

Michael Lerma

“Body Snatcher”

0-1-0LightweightK-1

1473Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
team360mmaTeamIronhorse Boxing Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cédrick BéginNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Michael LermaNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.27
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.81

Combat Edge model read

Cédrick Bégin62%
Michael Lerma 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cédrick Bégin a 62% favorite over Michael Lerma in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Lerma's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1473), separated by just 2 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.