Da'Mon Blackshear vs Luan Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-1Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Da'Mon Blackshear is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Luan Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1699
If they lose-13→ 1675
If they win+18→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Da'Mon BlackshearLuan Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Da'Mon Blackshear62%
Luan Lacerda 38%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Da'Mon Blackshear a 62% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Da'Mon Blackshear holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1653, a 35-point edge.
Da'Mon Blackshear finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.
Da'Mon Blackshear and Luan Lacerda share 1 common opponent: Cody Stamann.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.