Dakota Ditcheva vs Valentina Shevchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-0-0Record26-4-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Valentina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dakota Ditcheva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1787
If they lose-13→ 1755
If they win+10→ 1844
If they lose-14→ 1820
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dakota DitchevaValentina Shevchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Ditcheva62%
Valentina Shevchenko 38%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Ditcheva a 62% favorite over Valentina Shevchenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Valentina Shevchenko's way (41%).
Valentina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1834 to 1768, a 66-point edge.
Dakota Ditcheva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Valentina Shevchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dakota Ditcheva finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Shevchenko 58%.
Dakota Ditcheva and Valentina Shevchenko share 1 common opponent: Taila Santos.
Dakota Ditcheva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.