Dakota Hope vs David Baron
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record17-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight169 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamHaute Tension
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dakota HopeDavid Baron
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Hope70%
David Baron 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Hope a 70% favorite over David Baron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.
Dakota Hope finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, David Baron 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.