Combat Edge Intelligence

Dalcha Lungiambula vs Punahele Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
76"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dragon PowerTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Punahele Soriano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dalcha Lungiambula carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dalcha LungiambulaNow 1603
If they win+21→ 1624
If they lose-11→ 1592
Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-21→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.66
45%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
53%
Strike defense
48%
2.14
Takedown avg.
1.83
45%
Takedown accuracy
48%
78%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Dalcha LungiambulaPunahele Soriano
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (15%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Punahele Soriano81%
Dalcha Lungiambula 19%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 81% favorite over Dalcha Lungiambula in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Punahele Soriano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1603, a 108-point edge.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dalcha Lungiambula finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.

Dalcha Lungiambula carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.