Damian Piwowarczyk vs Misha Cirkunov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Czerwony SmokTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damian PiwowarczykMisha Cirkunov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Misha Cirkunov51%
Damian Piwowarczyk 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Misha Cirkunov a 51% favorite over Damian Piwowarczyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damian Piwowarczyk's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1670), separated by just 4 points.
Damian Piwowarczyk enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Damian Piwowarczyk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.