Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Rzepecki vs Jai Herbert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jai Herbert
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Jai Herbert

“The Black Country Banger”

14-6-1LightweightUFC

1675Good

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record14-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73.6"Reach77"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian RzepeckiNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Jai HerbertNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damian RzepeckiJai Herbert
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Damian Rzepecki and Jai Herbert within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.

Damian Rzepecki finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jai Herbert 79%.

Jai Herbert carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.