Damian Rzepecki vs Magomed Zaynukov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record9-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73.6"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Fit Center Piotrkow TrybunalskiTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Zaynukov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Damian Rzepecki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1693
If they lose-15→ 1661
If they win+23→ 1715
If they lose-25→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damian RzepeckiMagomed Zaynukov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Zaynukov51%
Damian Rzepecki 49%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Zaynukov a 51% favorite over Damian Rzepecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Magomed Zaynukov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1676, a 16-point edge.
Magomed Zaynukov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Damian Rzepecki finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Zaynukov 56%.
Damian Rzepecki carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.