Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Brown vs Vinc Pichel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vinc Pichel
us

Vinc Pichel

“From Hell”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1650Good

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Base Training CentreTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Vinc Pichel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Damien Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damien BrownNow 1583
If they win+14→ 1597
If they lose-10→ 1573
Vinc PichelNow 1650
If they win+13→ 1663
If they lose-19→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
39%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
50%
Strike defense
56%
0.68
Takedown avg.
2.78
27%
Takedown accuracy
54%
54%
Takedown defense
25%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Damien BrownVinc Pichel
155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
9 (47%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (37%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Damien Brown and Vinc Pichel within a point of even.

Vinc Pichel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1583, a 67-point edge.

Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Damien Brown finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.