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Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Lapilus vs Nicolae Bivol

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

22-15-3Record7-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
79.5"Reach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamFree Fight Academy

What's at stake

Nicolae Bivol is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Damien Lapilus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damien LapilusNow 1551
If they win+13→ 1564
If they lose-11→ 1540
Nicolae BivolNow 1570
If they win+15→ 1585
If they lose-17→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Damien LapilusNicolae Bivol
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
8 (36%)
Submission
3 (43%)
8 (36%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Damien Lapilus52%
Nicolae Bivol 48%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Damien Lapilus a 52% favorite over Nicolae Bivol in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolae Bivol's way (47%).

Nicolae Bivol holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1570 to 1551, a 19-point edge.

Damien Lapilus finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Bivol 86%.

Damien Lapilus and Nicolae Bivol share 1 common opponent: Ryan Eren Agbo.

Damien Lapilus carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Ryan Eren Agbo
WinSubmission (Ninja Choke) · 2026