Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Renato Moicano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamFirst Fight Center

What's at stake

Renato Moicano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Damir Hadžović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+22→ 1623
If they lose-10→ 1591
Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+7→ 1750
If they lose-17→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
48%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
63%
Strike defense
60%
0.78
Takedown avg.
1.67
56%
Takedown accuracy
42%
35%
Takedown defense
63%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićRenato Moicano
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
3 (21%)
Submission
11 (52%)
4 (29%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Renato Moicano92%
Damir Hadžović 8%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 92% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Renato Moicano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1601, a 142-point edge.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.

Renato Moicano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.