Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
48%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
63%
Strike defense
47%
0.78
Takedown avg.
0.33
56%
Takedown accuracy
17%
35%
Takedown defense
74%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićYancy Medeiros
1600202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
3 (21%)
Submission
4 (25%)
4 (29%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yancy Medeiros60%
Damir Hadžović 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yancy Medeiros a 60% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1610), separated by just 9 points.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Yancy Medeiros carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.