Combat Edge Intelligence

Damon Jackson vs Pat Sabatini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamRenzo Gracie Philly

What's at stake

Pat Sabatini is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Damon Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damon JacksonNow 1677
If they win+15→ 1692
If they lose-9→ 1668
Pat SabatiniNow 1762
If they win+9→ 1771
If they lose-15→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
1.69
43%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.09
49%
Strike defense
51%
2.30
Takedown avg.
4.48
33%
Takedown accuracy
51%
38%
Takedown defense
50%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Damon JacksonPat Sabatini
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
15 (65%)
Submission
12 (55%)
4 (17%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Pat Sabatini84%
Damon Jackson 16%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Pat Sabatini a 84% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Pat Sabatini holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1677, a 85-point edge.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Pat Sabatini 64%.

Damon Jackson and Pat Sabatini share 1 common opponent: Chepe Mariscal.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Chepe Mariscal
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025