Damon Jackson vs Rasul Magomedov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Damon Jackson65%
Rasul Magomedov 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Damon Jackson a 65% favorite over Rasul Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rasul Magomedov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.
Damon Jackson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAchilles
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damon JacksonRasul Magomedov