Dan Argueta vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Dan Argueta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1661
If they lose-13→ 1629
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-19→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miles Johns81%
Dan Argueta 19%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 81% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1642, a 65-point edge.
Dan Argueta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
Dan Argueta and Miles Johns share 1 common opponent: Jean Matsumoto.
Dan Argueta carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.