Dan Argueta vs Ronnie Lawrence
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMMA Science Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaRonnie Lawrence
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronnie Lawrence62%
Dan Argueta 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronnie Lawrence a 62% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1636), separated by just 6 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ronnie Lawrence 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.