Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Evensen vs Denzel Freeman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
252 lbsWeight262 lbs
TBDTeamBlackzilians

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Denzel FreemanNow 1627
If they win+24→ 1651
If they lose-24→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
11%
Strike accuracy
62%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
38%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
3.99
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan EvensenDenzel Freeman
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (14%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Denzel Freeman70%
Dan Evensen 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Denzel Freeman a 70% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Evensen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Evensen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Denzel Freeman 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.