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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Evensen vs Edivan Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record19-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'7"
TBDReach45,0"
252 lbsWeight246 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan EvensenNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Edivan SantosNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.27
Sig. strikes / min
1.55
11%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.09
38%
Strike defense
26%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
25%
3.99
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan EvensenEdivan Santos
1550160016502007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
1 (10%)
Submission
4 (22%)
2 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Edivan Santos63%
Dan Evensen 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edivan Santos a 63% favorite over Dan Evensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Evensen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Edivan Santos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.