Dan Evensen vs Pat Barry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
252 lbsWeight237 lbs
TeamTeam Death Clutch
What's at stake
Dan Evensen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1638
If they lose-21→ 1606
If they win+21→ 1546
If they lose-11→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan EvensenPat Barry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Evensen60%
Pat Barry 40%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Evensen a 60% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Dan Evensen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1525, a 102-point edge.
Dan Evensen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Evensen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Pat Barry 88%.
Dan Evensen and Pat Barry share 1 common opponent: Cheick Kongo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.