Dan Henderson vs Daniel Cormier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-15-0Record22-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight251 lbs
Team QuestTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Daniel Cormier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dan Henderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1755
If they lose-9→ 1731
If they win+9→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1808
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HendersonDaniel Cormier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Cormier78%
Dan Henderson 22%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Cormier a 78% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Daniel Cormier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1740, a 83-point edge.
Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Cormier 68%.
Dan Henderson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.