Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Henderson vs Karlos Vemola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karlos Vemola
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Karlos Vemola

“The Terminator”

37-8-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1738Good

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record37-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team QuestTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HendersonNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Karlos VemolaNow 1738
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.44
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
47%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
52%
Strike defense
38%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.93
53%
Takedown accuracy
26%
58%
Takedown defense
31%
0.34
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Dan HendersonKarlos Vemola
175020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
1 (3%)
Submission
20 (54%)
14 (44%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dan Henderson and Karlos Vemola within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1738), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vemola 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.