Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Henderson vs Khalid Satuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record14-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
Team QuestTeamChampion

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HendersonNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Khalid SatuevNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
1.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.34
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan HendersonKhalid Satuev
170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
1 (3%)
Submission
3 (21%)
14 (44%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalid Satuev71%
Dan Henderson 29%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalid Satuev a 71% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Henderson's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1734), separated by just 6 points.

Khalid Satuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Khalid Satuev 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.