Dan Henderson vs Khalid Satuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-15-0Record14-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HendersonKhalid Satuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khalid Satuev51%
Dan Henderson 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Khalid Satuev a 51% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Henderson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1739 vs 1737), separated by just 2 points.
Khalid Satuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Khalid Satuev 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.