Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Henderson vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HendersonNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.44
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
47%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
52%
Strike defense
65%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.05
53%
Takedown accuracy
43%
58%
Takedown defense
63%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Dan HendersonMichael Bisping
170017502014201520162017

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
1 (3%)
Submission
2 (7%)
14 (44%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping64%
Dan Henderson 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 64% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1741), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.