Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Henderson vs Quinton Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record38-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team QuestTeamWolfslair Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HendersonNow 1740
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Quinton JacksonNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.44
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
47%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.52
53%
Takedown accuracy
56%
58%
Takedown defense
74%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Dan HendersonQuinton Jackson
1750201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
20 (53%)
1 (3%)
Submission
4 (11%)
14 (44%)
Decision
14 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Quinton Jackson60%
Dan Henderson 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Quinton Jackson a 60% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Henderson's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1732), separated by just 8 points.

Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Quinton Jackson 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.