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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Henderson vs Vitor Belfort

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

32-15-0Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Dan Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan HendersonNow 1739
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-13→ 1726
Vitor BelfortNow 1718
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-11→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.44
Sig. strikes / min
1.59
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.02
53%
Takedown accuracy
60%
58%
Takedown defense
54%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Dan HendersonVitor Belfort
1700175020142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

17 (53%)
KO/TKO
18 (69%)
1 (3%)
Submission
3 (12%)
14 (44%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Henderson54%
Vitor Belfort 46%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Henderson a 54% favorite over Vitor Belfort in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Dan Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1718, a 21-point edge.

Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.

Dan Henderson and Vitor Belfort share 3 common opponents: Michael Bisping, Gegard Mousasi and Lyoto Machida.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision - Split · 2013
Lyoto Machida
LossKO/TKO · 2018
LossTKO (Punches) · 2015
Gegard Mousasi
LossKO/TKO · 2016
LossDEC · 2016
Michael Bisping
WinKO/TKO · 2013