Dan Henderson vs Vitor Belfort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-15-0Record26-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Dan Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vitor Belfort carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1751
If they lose-13→ 1727
If they win+13→ 1732
If they lose-11→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HendersonVitor Belfort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Belfort54%
Dan Henderson 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Belfort a 54% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Henderson's way (47%).
Dan Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1740 to 1719, a 21-point edge.
Dan Henderson finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Belfort 81%.
Dan Henderson and Vitor Belfort share 3 common opponents: Michael Bisping, Gegard Mousasi and Lyoto Machida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.