Dan Holt vs Nonato Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record20-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'7"
75"Reach-
160 lbsWeight161 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamGameness Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-24→ 1521
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HoltNonato Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nonato Junior62%
Dan Holt 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 62% favorite over Dan Holt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Holt's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1544), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Holt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Holt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.