Dan Hooker vs Dustin Poirier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record30-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach72″
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Dustin Poirier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1740
If they lose-9→ 1716
If they win+9→ 1821
If they lose-15→ 1797
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1814 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerDustin Poirier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Poirier70%
Dan Hooker 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Poirier a 70% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Dustin Poirier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1725, a 87-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Poirier 77%.
Dan Hooker and Dustin Poirier share 3 common opponents: Benoit Saint-Denis, Islam Makhachev and Michael Chandler.
Dan Hooker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.