Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Hooker vs Hatsu Hioki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Hooker
nz

Dan Hooker

“The Hangman”

24-14-0LightweightUFC

1725Good

Tale of the tape

24-14-0Record29-12-2
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAlive

What's at stake

Dan Hooker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hatsu Hioki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan HookerNow 1725
If they win+9→ 1734
If they lose-15→ 1710
Hatsu HiokiNow 1640
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-9→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.89
Sig. strikes / min
2.42
48%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
51%
Strike defense
66%
0.71
Takedown avg.
2.55
34%
Takedown accuracy
57%
77%
Takedown defense
54%
0.45
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Dan HookerHatsu Hioki
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
5 (17%)
7 (29%)
Submission
12 (41%)
6 (25%)
Decision
12 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Hooker83%
Hatsu Hioki 17%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 83% favorite over Hatsu Hioki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Dan Hooker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1640, a 85-point edge.

Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hatsu Hioki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Hatsu Hioki 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.