Dan Hooker vs Hatsu Hioki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record29-12-2
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAlive
What's at stake
Dan Hooker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Hatsu Hioki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
If they win+15→ 1636
If they lose-9→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerHatsu Hioki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hooker75%
Hatsu Hioki 25%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 75% favorite over Hatsu Hioki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Dan Hooker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1621, a 92-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hatsu Hioki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Hatsu Hioki 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.