Hatsu Hioki vs Dan Hooker

May 9, 2015 · ESPN+

DateMay 9, 2015

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueAdelaide Entertainment Centre

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 9, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:45 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:45 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:45 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:45 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 4:45 AM
Your time

Hatsu Hioki29-12-2Hatsu Hioki vs Dan HookerDan HookerThe Hangman |24-15-0

Hatsu Hioki29-12-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

29-12-2Record24-15-0

43Age36

5'11"Height6'0"

TBDReach 75"

145 lbsWeight156 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Dan HookerThe Hangman24-15-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Dan Hooker owns a 92-point Elo edge (good). Hatsu Hioki shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Hatsu Hioki and Dan Hooker across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Hatsu HiokiDan Hooker

Recent form

Hatsu HiokiL L L L W · -62 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Dan HookerL L L W W · -13 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Hatsu Hioki1621-16 last move

Dan Hooker1713-11 last move

Why they are ranked here

Hatsu HiokiNot on the active ladder · 1621 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ivan Menjivar (rated 1657 at the time): +11.
Costliest loss: Lost to Hiroshige Tanaka (rated 1468 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -62 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1531, not 1621: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Dan Hooker#56 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1713 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Nasrat Haqparast (rated 1724 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Islam Makhachev (rated 1815 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -13 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #55 Ylies Djiroun, 1 ahead of #57 Manuel Torres.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Hatsu HiokiNow 1621

Wins by decision+15→ 1636

Loses by decision-9→ 1612

Dan HookerNow 1713 · #56 Lightweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1722

Loses by decision-15→ 1698

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Hatsu HiokivsDan Hooker

Takedown accuracy

57%vs9%

Takedown average

2.55vs0.68

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.12vs4.94

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.42vs4.82

Finishing profile

Hatsu Hiokisubmission leads 41% of wins

Dan HookerKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Hatsu HiokiDan Hooker

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.42Sig. strikes landed per min4.82

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

42Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC featherweight average : 46%

2.12Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.94

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

66Sig. strike defense49

UFC featherweight average : 54%

2.55Takedown average0.68

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

57Takedown accuracy9

UFC featherweight average : 29%

54Takedown defense77

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.61Submission average0.56

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

5Wins by knockout11

12Wins by submission7

12Wins by decision6

4Losses by knockout5

1Losses by submission4

7Losses by decision6

Hatsu Hioki vs Dan Hooker is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MIOCIC VS HUNT. Hatsu Hioki enters with a 29-12-2 record and Dan Hooker enters with a 24-15-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.