Dan Hooker vs Michael Chandler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Michael Chandler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dan Hooker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702
If they win+11→ 1743
If they lose-13→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1764 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1772 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerMichael Chandler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chandler56%
Dan Hooker 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chandler a 56% favorite over Dan Hooker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Michael Chandler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1713, a 19-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chandler 78%.
Dan Hooker carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.