Dan Hooker vs Michael Chandler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1772 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerMichael Chandler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hooker54%
Michael Chandler 46%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 54% favorite over Michael Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Chandler's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1732), separated by just 7 points.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chandler 78%.
Dan Hooker carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.