Dan Ige vs Diego Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-12-0Record28-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71''Reach72"
165 lbsWeight161 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Diego Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dan Ige carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-9→ 1678
If they win+9→ 1791
If they lose-15→ 1767
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan IgeDiego Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Lopes73%
Dan Ige 27%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Lopes a 73% favorite over Dan Ige in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Diego Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1782 to 1687, a 95-point edge.
Dan Ige enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Diego Lopes 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.