Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Diego Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record28-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71''Reach72"
165 lbsWeight161 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamLobo Gym MMA

What's at stake

Diego Lopes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dan Ige carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan IgeNow 1695
If they win+15→ 1710
If they lose-9→ 1686
Diego LopesNow 1781
If they win+9→ 1790
If they lose-15→ 1766

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.83
45%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
56%
Strike defense
46%
0.89
Takedown avg.
0.88
26%
Takedown accuracy
50%
57%
Takedown defense
69%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Dan IgeDiego Lopes
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
12 (43%)
5 (26%)
Submission
12 (43%)
7 (37%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Lopes89%
Dan Ige 11%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Lopes a 89% favorite over Dan Ige in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Diego Lopes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1695, a 86-point edge.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Diego Lopes 86%.

Dan Ige and Diego Lopes share 1 common opponent: Movsar Evloev.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Movsar Evloev
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023