Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Ige vs Edson Barboza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

19-11-0Record24-15-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71''Reach75"
165 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Dan Ige is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan IgeNow 1696
If they win+11→ 1707
If they lose-13→ 1683
Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
45%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.93
Takedown avg.
0.43
3%
Takedown accuracy
32%
56%
Takedown defense
73%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Dan IgeEdson Barboza
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (37%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
5 (26%)
Submission
1 (4%)
7 (37%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Ige60%
Edson Barboza 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Ige a 60% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Dan Ige holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1669, a 27-point edge.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dan Ige finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.

Dan Ige and Edson Barboza share 2 common opponents: Lerone Murphy and Bryce Mitchell.

Edson Barboza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Lerone Murphy
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Bryce Mitchell
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022