Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Lauzon vs Mark Choinski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dan Lauzon
us

Dan Lauzon

“The Upgrade”

17-6-0WelterweightCES

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachN/A
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan LauzonNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Mark ChoinskiNow 1639
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.54
Sig. strikes / min
0
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.98
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan LauzonMark Choinski
1550160016501700201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
7 (41%)
Submission
5 (63%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Choinski66%
Dan Lauzon 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Choinski a 66% favorite over Dan Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Lauzon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Lauzon finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mark Choinski 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.