Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Miller vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MillerNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.03
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
36%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
50%
Strike defense
46%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.65
55%
Takedown accuracy
0%
47%
Takedown defense
83%
1.77
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Dan MillerMansur Abdul-Malik
16001650170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
9 (64%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik73%
Dan Miller 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 73% favorite over Dan Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Miller enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Miller finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.