Dan Molina vs Jake Collier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-9-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
216 lbsWeight257 lbs
TBDTeamPit MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan MolinaJake Collier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Molina57%
Jake Collier 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Molina a 57% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Collier's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Molina enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dan Molina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.