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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Moret vs Leo Brichta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Moret
us

Dan Moret

“The Hitman”

16-8-0LightweightXFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record14-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73,0"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Minnesota Martial Arts AcademyTeamHanuman Thai Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan MoretNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Leo BrichtaNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.67
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
1.25
Takedown avg.
Not available
27%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
45%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.42
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan MoretLeo Brichta
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
9 (56%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (31%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Brichta61%
Dan Moret 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Brichta a 61% favorite over Dan Moret in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Leo Brichta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dan Moret finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Leo Brichta 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.