Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Acacio vs Eric Nolan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

8-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

30-19-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
169 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamLionheart Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AcacioNow 1539
If they win+12→ 1551
If they lose-12→ 1527
Eric NolanNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.13
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Daniel AcacioEric Nolan
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (41%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (14%)
Submission
2 (25%)
13 (45%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan66%
Daniel Acacio 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 66% favorite over Daniel Acacio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Acacio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1537), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Acacio enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Eric Nolan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Acacio finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Eric Nolan 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.