Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record11-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Entram GymTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Luis Gurule is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Daniel Barez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Daniel BarezNow 1594
If they win+18→ 1612
If they lose-14→ 1580
Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+14→ 1655
If they lose-18→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.65
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
50%
Strike defense
58%
1.93
Takedown avg.
0.67
29%
Takedown accuracy
16%
80%
Takedown defense
59%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Daniel BarezLuis Gurule
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (24%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Gurule63%
Daniel Barez 37%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 63% favorite over Daniel Barez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Luis Gurule holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1594, a 47-point edge.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barez finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Daniel Barez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.